One thing you can’t deny about 2024 is that the year was filled with incredible movie releases. Are you the type of person who loves watching movie premieres in theaters, or do you prefer waiting to stream while lying in bed chowing down with your sweetie on some Ben & Jerry’s Scoopa-palooza Coffee & Fudge Chip? Either way, I’m sure you came across a movie or two that piqued your interest!
We’re all completely obsessed with movies because they help us escape our realities – at least for a little while. But… which movies, actors, and directors from 2024 deserve to take home Oscar Awards in early March? Here’s a breakdown of our current predictions based on stats gathered by Action Network.
Anora Might Win Best Picture
The probability of Anora winning Best Picture is 70.59%. These stats are significantly higher than every other movie nominated this time around. Anora is a 2024 romantic comedy about Anora Mikheeva, a 23-year-old stripper from Brooklyn, who falls in love with Ivan Zakharov, the son of a powerful Russian oligarch.
Their personalities couldn’t be more different since she’s from Brooklyn and he’s from Russia. But the film reminds us that love can unify people who are vastly different from each other. If Anora wins, it’ll beat other highly beloved films like A Complete Unknown, Emilia Perez, Wicked, The Substance, and Dune: Part Two.
Sean Baker Might Win Best Director For Anora
The probability of Sean Baker taking home an Oscar Award for Best Director is 55.56%. That’s just a tad bit higher than other directors who were also nominated for this go round. Baker’s probability rating isn’t too far off Brady Corbet’s, director of the utterly ambitious, determinedly unhurried The Brutalist.
With 51.52% backing him up, we can see Brady possibly winning also. As of now, the stats say Sean is in the lead. If Sean successfully wins an Oscar for his directorial work in Anora, it’ll give moviegoers a chance to reflect on some of his earlier films like The Florida Project, Red Rocket, and Tangerine.
Adrien Brody Might Win Best Actor in The Brutalist
Adrien Brody did an excellent job in The Brutalist, which is why he has a probability score of 69.7% for Best Actor. That’s more than double what his runner-up has pulled in. For context, Timothee Chalamet lands in second place for his work in A Complete Unknown with 30.30%.
At 51, Adrien Brody has built a remarkable Hollywood career since his 1989 debut in Francis Ford Coppola’s “New York Stories.” He won the Academy Award for Best Actor at 29 for “The Pianist” (2002), becoming the youngest actor to win in that category. In The Brutalist, he plays a Hungarian architect hoping to rebuild his life in post-war America. Perhaps Brody will carry home his second Oscar???
Demi Moore Might Win Best Actress in The Substance
Anyone who watched The Substance understands the movie’s relevancy regarding society’s unrealistic beauty standards for women. The movie explores how it feels to age as a woman. The probability of Demi Moore winning Best Actress in 2025 lands at 62.96%.
If she does win Best Actress, she’ll beat out Cynthia Erivo, who was nominated for Wicked – among other talented actresses. Demi’s believability on-screen is refreshing, especially in an era where youth and beauty often dominate the spotlight.
Kieran Culkin Might Win Best Supporting Actor in A Real Pain
A Real Pain is a feel-good comedy-drama starring Kieran Culkin and Jesse Eisenberg in the leading roles. The movie follows the journey of two cousins on an adventure to explore their mysterious family history.
Kieren Culkin is nominated for Best Supporting Actor in 2025, and the probability that he’ll win lands at 88.24%. Based on these odds, it’s safe to assume he’ll be graciously welcomed onstage to accept his Oscar Award.
Zoe Saldana Might Win Best Supporting Actress in Emilia Perez
Emilia Perez has faced its fair share of criticisms – with a bulk of those criticisms aimed at Selena Gomez. Apparently, some fans didn’t think her Spanish accent was decent enough. But there wasn’t any negative energy directed towards Zoe Saldana.
It shouldn’t come as a surprise that there’s a massive chance Zoe will win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars. The implied probability of her win lands at 86.67%. If Zoe wins, she’ll beat Ariana Grande – nominated for Wicked – among other amazing supporting actresses in their respective films.
